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Setting a Trend?

Support for the Greens and the FDP in the 2021 Bundestag Election

Andreas M. Wüst

The 2021 Bundestag election brought an end to the model of grand coalitions that Germany had witnessed in 12 out of the 16 years of Angela Merkel’s chancellorship. While older voters often switched from the Christian Democrats to the Social Democrats, young voters might have set a trend in 2021 by voting for non-governing parties, allowing the Greens and the fdp to enter the new government. Have we witnessed more than a situational switch from the Volksparteien to a new yellow-green alliance, maybe even the rise of a generational cleavage? This article provides empirical evidence for dissatisfaction with the grand coalition government and the quest for change among young voters—a fight against climate change combined with state-centered social policies among Green voters, and a broad liberal program for progress among fdp voters. Yet the reasons that young people support these parties differ significantly. Thus, it is thin empirical ice to associate the yellow-green boost among young voters with a new generational cleavage.

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Lars Rensmann

Despite several breakthroughs that indicate radical right parties' significant electoral potential, they remain highly volatile players in both Poland and eastern Germany. This is puzzling because radical right competitors can benefit from favorable politico-cultural conditions shaped by postcommunist legacies. The electoral markets in Poland and the eastern German Länder show low levels of affective party identification and low levels of political trust in mainstream parties and government institutions. Most importantly, there is a sizeable, yet largely unrepresented segment of voters who share salient counter-cosmopolitan preferences. They point to a “silent counterrevolution“ against globalization and cosmopolitan value change that displays substantive affinities to radical right ideology. Offering a transborder regional comparison of the four most relevant radical right parties and their conditions for electoral mobilization in Poland and eastern Germany, this article argues that the radical right's crossnational volatility-and often underperformance-in elections is mainly caused by internal supply side factors. They range from organizational deficiencies, leadership issues, and internal feuds, to strategic failures and a lack of democratic responsiveness. In turn, the disequilibrium between counter-cosmopolitan demand and its political representation is likely to be reduced if radical right competitors become more effective agents of electoral mobilization-or new, better organized ones emerge.

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Lauri Rapeli and Inga Saikkonen

question. Previous research suggests only short-term impacts in trust levels and no consequences whatsoever for the more crucial factors such as party identification (e.g. Hetherington and Nelson 2003 ). Looking at the period between the two world wars

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A Tale of Two Electorates?

The 2021 Federal Election and the AfD Voter in East and West

Michael A. Hansen and Jonathan Olsen

electorate might also be a product of differences in party identification and trust in democracy. Studies have shown that trust in the democratic system is significantly lower in eastern Germany than in western Germany, 27 while party identification is lower

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Leif Lewin

measurement problems. The act of voting not only expresses “preferences” but also concerns class solidarity, party identification, and voters’ evaluation of candidates’ traits. How a person votes does not always tell us about that person’s views on a

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“Revenge of the East”?

The AfD's Appeal in Eastern Germany and Mainstream Parties’ Responses

Jennifer A. Yoder

cultural nature, including weak party identification and the type of democracy preferred. 21 When compared to the West, Germans in the East reportedly have lower levels of trust in the institutions of the frg 22 and more strongly favor elements of direct

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Richard Widick and John Foran

future almost universally rest on a call for deep cultural transformation—the collective ideas, values, and meanings that assembled and practiced account for things like individualism, consumerism, neoliberalism, political party identification, and the

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Cause or Consequence?

The Alternative for Germany and Attitudes toward Migration Policy

Hannah M. Alarian

important at the constituency level, wherein citizens within a given constituency select a candidate with a known party identification to represent their interests within the Bundestag. In the case of 2017, the AfD captured nearly 13 percent of this second

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’Tis but a Habit in an Unconsolidated Democracy

Habitual Voting, Political Alienation and Spectatorship

Anthony Lawrence A. Borja

strong voting habit; (4) motivations to turnout (i.e. care about electoral outcomes, party identification, internal efficacy, external efficacy, contact with parties and/or candidates, and perceived differences between the party) ‘should be strongly